ABSTRACT
The major objective of this work is to evaluate and study the model of coronavirus illness by providing an efficient numerical solution for this important model. The model under investigation is composed of five differential equations. In this study, the multidomain spectral relaxation method (MSRM) is used to numerically solve the suggested model. The proposed approach is based on the hypothesis that the domain of the problem can be split into a finite number of subintervals, each of which can have a solution. The procedure also converts the proposed model into a system of algebraic equations. Some theoretical studies are provided to discuss the convergence analysis of the suggested scheme and deduce an upper bound of the error. A numerical simulation is used to evaluate the approach's accuracy and utility, and it is presented in symmetric forms.
ABSTRACT
It is of great curiosity to observe the effects of prevention methods and the magnitudes of the outbreak including epidemic prediction, at the onset of an epidemic. To deal with COVID-19 Pandemic, an SEIQR model has been designed. Analytical study of the model consists of the calculation of the basic reproduction number and the constant level of disease absent and disease present equilibrium. The model also explores number of cases and the predicted outcomes are in line with the cases registered. By parameters calibration, new cases in Pakistan are also predicted. The number of patients at the current level and the permanent level of COVID-19 cases are also calculated analytically and through simulations. The future situation has also been discussed, which could happen if precautionary restrictions are adopted.
ABSTRACT
In the present work, we investigated the transmission dynamics of fractional order SARS-CoV-2 mathematical model with the help of Susceptible S ( t ) , Exposed E ( t ) , Infected I ( t ) , Quarantine Q ( t ) , and Recovered R ( t ) . The aims of this work is to investigate the stability and optimal control of the concerned mathematical model for both local and global stability by third additive compound matrix approach and we also obtained threshold value by the next generation approach. The author's visualized the desired results graphically. We also control each of the population of underlying model with control variables by optimal control strategies with Pontryagin's maximum Principle and obtained the desired numerical results by using the homotopy perturbation method. The proposed model is locally asymptotically unstable, while stable globally asymptotically on endemic equilibrium. We also explored the results graphically in numerical section for better understanding of transmission dynamics.